Chapter 2 · Section 8
Prediction, feedback and learning
How can prediction help when feedback takes time, and what changes between one attempt and the next?
As the hand reaches towards the cup, both the body and sensory information change. Feedback takes time: a change must affect receptors, signals must be transmitted and information processed. If control only waited for each new signal, it would always work with an older state. Prediction can help the nervous system estimate what is happening in the meantime.
What does a forward model predict?
A forward model predicts sensory consequences from motor-command information and the body’s current state. An efference copy is a copy of command information, not a copy of a completed movement. If the hand is here and the command changes muscle activity in a particular way, what sensory information should follow?
Predicted information can be combined with incoming vision, proprioception and other sensory signals. Prediction does not replace observation or magically know about unexpected external events. If someone moves a cup you have not yet touched, a model of your own movement cannot by itself reveal the cup’s new position.
Two different questions about error
Sensory prediction error here means observed sensory outcome minus predicted sensory outcome, as a conceptual difference. Goal error instead asks: how does the outcome differ from what I wanted to achieve? The hand could arrive at its predicted position yet be beside a displaced cup: the goal is missed without the hand’s sensory outcome necessarily differing from its prediction.
When the cup moves
Vision can provide new information about a displaced object. Even with vision blocked, proprioception remains, but by itself it does not reveal that an untouched cup has moved. Predictions need new information to account for an unexpected external event.
Reader’s overview — not the mover’s visual field
Stage 1/4 · The reach begins
Vision available · Proprioception intact
The cup and hand are initially visible. The reach starts from their estimated positions; proprioception contributes information about the arm and hand.
Correct now, learn for next time
A change to the hand during an ongoing movement is a correction within that attempt. Motor adaptation is an adjustment across attempts when conditions change. Correcting a movement and changing the next movement are therefore not the same observation. One can occur without the other following in precisely the same way.
An unexpected sensory consequence can contribute to changing a prediction or control strategy. Skill learning also involves other processes, such as finding suitable strategies and developing more stable coordination with practice. Adaptation is not the whole of learning.
What does the evidence show?
Saunders and Knill (2003) perturbed visual information about the hand during reaching. Participants’ corrections show that ongoing visual feedback from the hand is used for regulation during movement. The study concerns this contribution, not vision alone controlling every movement.
Tseng and colleagues (2007) studied adaptation under visuomotor perturbations of reaching. Their results support a contribution of sensory prediction errors to cerebellum-dependent adaptation even when immediate corrections are distinguished from learning across attempts. This is evidence from a particular experimental situation, not proof that the same mechanism explains all learning.
Corrections and changes across attempts are observations. Forward models are one way to explain how prediction can contribute. The cerebellum is an important part of the networks under study, but neither the model nor the structure is a conscious little planner or one uniquely proven comparison centre. How different signals, networks and learning processes interact remains a research question.
Connect this to visual processing, to multisensory processing and to the cup in the café. The same action may require estimating, predicting, observing and reassessing — without these forming a rigid sequence of isolated stages.